ZZZZZZZZZZZZ...............

I'm hoping by early next week we can finally have something to maybe look forward to. This has been a fairly common picture of May that I just don't like to see. There hopefully will be a trough building in the west coast come the end of May beginning of June that could finally spark the severe weather season. Don't get me wrong, there has been a few severe storms in the US and even tornados but this year they are so wide spread and all over the place. Normally by this time in the year we have quite a few severe warned storms roll over our area and a couple tornados but this year has been 0/ZERO.

Textbook

Check out these little towers just starting to develop, this is textbook. This is right over Omaha and Mo Valley

The coolest thing is to watch the wind shear from the N hit the shear from the S and start to form the towers.

Faster than Expected

It looks like the cold front moving in from the NW moved faster than expected last night pretty much knocking any chances of severe storms today and tonight out of the question for our little region. 100 miles south of us and there will be a better chance of running into something. Overall it's dissapointing but only to be expected this early in the year for this far North.

Finally Something Worth While to Write About!!!

Late Friday afternoon through Friday Night we are looking for some good activity in western IA. To start out with look at SPC's probability outlook, we are just on the line of 30% for tornadic activity in NW IA where as 100 miles south is right in the middle of it.

Next look at the wind shear, at the surface we have great southerly winds blowing in moisture from the gulf intesecting with colder Canadian air running from Duluth MN all the way down to Dodge City KS area. This alone is cause for some pretty good instability.

Then you look at the mid level winds they are blowing at 35Kts W SW bringing in Pacific moisture to add to the Cape. The combination of N cold air S humid air and W SW partially humid air will really light up the sky.

The next thing we should look at is the mixing ratio which is once again centered right over our area and the Cape which is just over extending our area.

This setup looks to be almost a fool proof setup for our area. We should be looking at a great possibility of some supercells actually getting up into this region and with all this instability there will be a high chance of tornadic supercells. Another thing is if these fire during the daylight there will be a pretty good chance to see some great RFD cuts along wall clouds because of the closeness of all the cool air. Tomorrow should be a pretty exciting day that really fires up some activity that we have been long waiting for.